Scenarios Development To Increase Price Stability And Inventories Of Sugar Industry Using System Dynamics Approach

Brastama Putra, Agung and Suryani, Erma (2015) Scenarios Development To Increase Price Stability And Inventories Of Sugar Industry Using System Dynamics Approach. ICo-ApICT 2015.

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Abstract

Sugar is one of the strategic commodities owned by Indonesia as a tropical country, sugar has been produced in 110 countries, such as Brazil, India, Australia, Thailand, China, and Cuba. The sugar production in PT.Perkebunan Nusantara (PN) IX reached 58.000 quintals until this month and expected to increase to 878.000 quintals at the end of the year. PTPN production continues to decrease.This is due to machine condition that getting old. furthermore, sugarcane land area decline, which resulted in the supply of raw materials decline and sugar prices getting out of control. Currently, the price of sugar handed over to market mechanisms, market mechanism occurs when the sugar supply is higher than demand then the prices tend to decline, but when the sugar demand is higher than supply then price tend to an increase. With the above issues, the system of national sugar industry has a dynamic variable and flexible. System behavior changes with time, the dynamics system which large and complex, availability feedback to the system and the feedback latest information about the state of system so that produce a decision. With the behavior of the system changing and dynamic, this paper use System Dynamic approach to solve complex problems by determining the scenarios sugar policy. This paper presents a conceptual framework for scenarios development to increase stability price and inventories of sugar industry using system dynamics modeling approach, and adding bufferstock management into system dynamics model.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Buffer Stock Management, Stability Price And Inventories, Scenarios Policy In Sugar Industry, System Dynamics Approach.
Subjects: Prosiding > ICo-ApICT 2015
Divisions: Universitas Komputer Indonesia > Perpustakaan UNIKOM
Date Deposited: 10 Dec 2015 10:25
Last Modified: 31 Jan 2019 10:25
URI: https://repository.unikom.ac.id/id/eprint/59735

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